Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.001704 0.001810 0.001921 0.002043 0.002175 0.002314 0.002472
2025-03-16 0.001550 0.001700 0.001860 0.002047 0.002257 0.002489 0.002763
2025-03-23 0.001426 0.001601 0.001795 0.002026 0.002297 0.002604 0.002983
2025-03-30 0.001338 0.001531 0.001749 0.002018 0.002340 0.002719 0.003200
2025-04-06 0.001254 0.001458 0.001693 0.001989 0.002353 0.002790 0.003363
2025-04-13 0.001181 0.001391 0.001639 0.001955 0.002354 0.002844 0.003501
2025-04-20 0.001098 0.001308 0.001560 0.001886 0.002303 0.002827 0.003545
2025-04-27 0.001067 0.001286 0.001553 0.001904 0.002363 0.002950 0.003776
2025-05-04 0.001049 0.001279 0.001563 0.001944 0.002450 0.003113 0.004066
2025-05-11 0.001040 0.001283 0.001586 0.002000 0.002561 0.003309 0.004413
2025-05-18 0.001015 0.001264 0.001579 0.002015 0.002616 0.003433 0.004663
2025-05-25 0.000972 0.001220 0.001537 0.001982 0.002602 0.003458 0.004770
2025-06-01 0.000928 0.001175 0.001495 0.001950 0.002594 0.003500 0.004920
2025-06-08 0.000897 0.001147 0.001475 0.001947 0.002628 0.003605 0.005170
2025-06-15 0.000862 0.001111 0.001443 0.001926 0.002634 0.003667 0.005359
2025-06-22 0.000834 0.001084 0.001421 0.001918 0.002657 0.003755 0.005594
2025-06-29 0.000801 0.001050 0.001387 0.001891 0.002650 0.003796 0.005754
2025-07-06 0.000770 0.001015 0.001351 0.001859 0.002634 0.003822 0.005889
2025-07-13 0.000729 0.000967 0.001295 0.001794 0.002563 0.003757 0.005864
2025-07-20 0.000717 0.000958 0.001293 0.001811 0.002621 0.003899 0.006206
2025-07-27 0.000711 0.000958 0.001305 0.001848 0.002711 0.004099 0.006664
2025-08-03 0.000710 0.000965 0.001327 0.001901 0.002828 0.004350 0.007235
2025-08-10 0.000698 0.000955 0.001324 0.001915 0.002884 0.004499 0.007629